MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:14:27| >> :600:6760541:6760541:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Norway national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Georgia national football team

Norway
2 - 1
Georgia

Haaland (25'), Odegaard (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zivzivadze (90+1')
Davitashvili (64'), Zivzivadze (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Norway and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norway

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 6-0 Jordan
Thursday, September 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain376
3Norway4-24
4Georgia4-74
5Cyprus4-90

Georgia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-7 Spain
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain376
3Norway4-24
4Georgia4-74
5Cyprus4-90

We said: Norway 2-1 Georgia

 Georgia are a lot better than they showed against Spain last time out, and we are expecting an improvement from Sagnol's side in this match. Norway have two of the best players in the Premier League in the shape of Odegaard and Haaland, though, and we are backing the duo to play a key part in a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.

Result
NorwayDrawGeorgia
68.31% (-0.253 -0.25) 19.39% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 12.3% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.68% (-0.012 -0.01)46.32% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)12.51% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.48% (-0.155 -0.16)38.51% (0.151 0.15)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65% (0.25700000000001 0.26)47.35% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25% (0.192 0.19)82.75% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Norway 68.3%
    Georgia 12.3%
    Draw 19.39%
NorwayDrawGeorgia
2-0 @ 12.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 68.3%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.39%
0-1 @ 4.43% (0.033 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 12.3%

How you voted: Norway vs Georgia

Norway
78.8%
Draw
16.5%
Georgia
4.7%
85
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Georgia
1-1
Norway
Mikautadze (60')
Sorloth (15')
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