We said: Norway 3-1 Cyprus
History should repeat itself in more ways than one here, as Norway make it 12 wins from 12 against their lowly foes with another multiple-goal showing.
The hosts' defensive deficiencies will hinder their chances of a victory to nil, but the Lions possess the necessary firepower to put Cyprus to the sword and force their way back into top-two contention.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 83.05%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.02%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Norway in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norway.
39.12) 
-9.75) 
