MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 19:32:17| >> :600:9591211:9591211:
Georgia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Norway national football team

Georgia
1 - 1
Norway

Mikautadze (60')
Azarovi (53'), Aburjania (72'), Gocholeishvili (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sorloth (15')
Solbakken (79'), Meling (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Georgia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Georgia 6-1 Mongolia
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland133
2Spain133
3Georgia000
4Cyprus1-30
5Norway1-30
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland133
2Spain133
3Georgia000
4Cyprus1-30
5Norway1-30

We said: Georgia 1-1 Norway

While the vast majority of Georgia's victories in 2022 came against teams that they would have expected to beat, Sagnol's side should feel confident of getting their Euro 2024 qualifying bid off to a respectable start. Norway held their own for long periods of their clash with Spain and were unlucky not to have breached the Roja backline, so we can picture a tightly-fought score draw on the Batumi turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Norway had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawNorway
52.86% (-5.051 -5.05) 25.82% (1.591 1.59) 21.32% (3.466 3.47)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.803 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.92% (-1.707 -1.71)57.08% (1.712 1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04% (-1.382 -1.38)77.96% (1.387 1.39)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-2.692 -2.69)21.67% (2.696 2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-4.297 -4.3)54.81% (4.302 4.3)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (2.918 2.92)42.03% (-2.914 -2.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (2.431 2.43)78.46% (-2.426 -2.43)
Score Analysis
    Georgia 52.86%
    Norway 21.32%
    Draw 25.82%
GeorgiaDrawNorway
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-1.13 -1.13)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-1.098 -1.1)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.514 -0.51)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
Other @ 3%
Total : 52.86%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.74 0.74)
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.581 0.58)
2-2 @ 4% (0.234 0.23)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.9% (1.075 1.08)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.7 0.7)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.694 0.69)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.261 0.26)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Georgia vs Norway

Georgia
34.9%
Draw
19.0%
Norway
46.1%
232
rhs 2.0
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