MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:39:22| >> :600:3352836:3352836:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Republic of Ireland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Gibraltar national football team

Rep. Ireland
3 - 0
Gibraltar

Johnston (52'), Ferguson (59'), Idah (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sergeant (36'), Jolley (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Republic of Ireland and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Gibraltar

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 France
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Republic of Ireland 2-0 Gibraltar

 During the qualifying phase for Euro 2016, Ireland stormed to a pair of 7-0 and 4-0 wins over Gibraltar, but the gap was narrowed four years later as the Boys in Green netted just three goals in their subsequent two meetings. With Kenny's men struggling for inspiration so far, a glut of goals should not be expected this time around either, but we still expect the hosts to belatedly get off the mark against the minnows. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawGibraltar
43.93% (-55.123 -55.12) 21.71% (20.816 20.82) 34.36% (34.303 34.3)
Both teams to score 69.78% (62.3831 62.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (-18.003 -18)29.83% (17.999 18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (-25.55 -25.55)50.99% (25.547 25.55)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-13.826 -13.83)14.5% (13.821 13.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-38.453 -38.45)42.49% (38.449 38.45)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (74.1641 74.16)18.38% (-74.167 -74.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (50.197 50.2)49.52% (-50.201 -50.2)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 43.93%
    Gibraltar 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
Republic of IrelandDrawGibraltar
2-1 @ 8.42% (7.813 7.81)
3-1 @ 5.42% (4.412 4.41)
1-0 @ 5.15% (2.027 2.03)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-2.829 -2.83)
3-2 @ 4.59% (4.55 4.55)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-9.791 -9.79)
4-1 @ 2.62% (1.358 1.36)
4-2 @ 2.22% (2.167 2.17)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-14.696 -14.7)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.25 1.25)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (8.475 8.48)
2-2 @ 7.13% (7.106 7.11)
0-0 @ 2.66% (2.04 2.04)
3-3 @ 2.59% (2.59 2.59)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (7.374 7.37)
0-1 @ 4.51% (4.465 4.47)
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 4.03% (4.024 4.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (3.821 3.82)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.71%
3-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Gibraltar

Republic of Ireland
66.7%
Draw
12.5%
Gibraltar
20.8%
24
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Rep. Ireland
2-0
Gibraltar
Chipolina (29' og.), Brady (93')
Stevens (68')

Olivero (25')
> Match Report
Mar 23, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-1
Rep. Ireland

Casciaro (41'), De Barr (90')
Hendrick (49')
McClean (45'), Stevens (67')
> Match Report
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Gibraltar
0-4
Rep. Ireland
> Match Report
Oct 11, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Rep. Ireland
7-0
Gibraltar
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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