MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:25:55| >> :60:656:656:
Malta national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
Republic of Ireland national football team

Malta
0 - 1
Rep. Ireland


Pepe (51'), Camenzuli (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Robinson (55')
Collins (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Malta and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 2-2 Greece
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Norway
Thursday, November 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malta 0-1 Republic of Ireland

 On the back of their result in Greece, Malta will have every belief that they can earn a result against Republic of Ireland. Nevertheless, we expect Kenny's side to do enough to grind their way to a narrow win ahead of attempting to upset the odds in Euro 2024 qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.

Result
MaltaDrawRepublic of Ireland
20.26% (-17.221 -17.22) 22.72% (-3.351 -3.35) 57.02% (20.572 20.57)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.974 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (4.277 4.28)46.22% (-4.277 -4.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (3.909 3.91)68.51% (-3.911 -3.91)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.08% (-10.687 -10.69)36.92% (10.684 10.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-12.369 -12.37)73.71% (12.367 12.37)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (10.851 10.85)15.97% (-10.852 -10.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (16.846 16.85)45.28% (-16.847 -16.85)
Score Analysis
    Malta 20.26%
    Republic of Ireland 57.01%
    Draw 22.72%
MaltaDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 5.88% (-3.54 -3.54)
2-1 @ 5.37% (-2.92 -2.92)
2-0 @ 2.93% (-3.372 -3.37)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-1.913 -1.91)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.797 -0.8)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-1.838 -1.84)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.26%
1-1 @ 10.77% (-1.62 -1.62)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-1.14 -1.14)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.529 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 10.81% (1.55 1.55)
0-2 @ 9.92% (3.828 3.83)
1-2 @ 9.89% (1.733 1.73)
0-3 @ 6.07% (3.393 3.39)
1-3 @ 6.04% (2.467 2.47)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.619 0.62)
0-4 @ 2.78% (1.902 1.9)
1-4 @ 2.77% (1.595 1.6)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.594 0.59)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.789 0.79)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.706 0.71)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 57.01%

How you voted: Malta vs Rep. Ireland

Malta
24.5%
Draw
22.4%
Republic of Ireland
53.1%
49
rhs 2.0
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