We said: Serbia 3-1 Jordan
With Jordan massively improving in recent times and Serbia set to rest several key players, we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Vienna on Friday.
However, the European outfit should still possess too much quality for their opponents, who are ranked almost 60 places beneath Serbia in the FIFA World Rankings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 68.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Jordan win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.