Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brightlingsea Regent win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for AFC Kempston Rovers had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brightlingsea Regent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest AFC Kempston Rovers win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brightlingsea Regent would win this match.
0.29) 
-0.41) 
