MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:28:14| >> :60:479:479:
AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Guiseley

Palmer (44')
Palmer (59'), Hartigan (79'), Csoka (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nicholson (29'), Spencer (43'), Cantrill (45+2'), Hutchinson (74')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between AFC Wimbledon and Guiseley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGuiseley
61.51%20.68%17.8%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.24%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2%12.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.9%39.1%
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78%73.21%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 61.51%
    Guiseley 17.8%
    Draw 20.68%
AFC WimbledonDrawGuiseley
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 9.58%
3-1 @ 6.82%
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 3.51%
4-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 61.51%
1-1 @ 9.68%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.69%
1-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 17.8%

rhs 2.0
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2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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