Birmingham City 2-1 Hull City - FA Cup Third Round Replays - Football

2 - 1

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stansfield (66'), Miyoshi (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lokilo (12')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hull City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Hull City

Birmingham were up for the fight during Mowbray's first match but looked defensively weak at points, something Hull's Carvalho could take advantage of. The Tigers are dominating football matches but are not finding the results in recent games, but they should be good enough for the win here unless they rotate their side heavily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Hull City
33.21% ( -0)	26.23%	40.55%

Both teams to score 52.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.37%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0)

29.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69%

65.3%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93%

25.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25%

59.75% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 33.21%

Hull City 40.55%

Draw 26.23%

Birmingham City	Draw	Hull City
1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.21%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Hull City

Birmingham City

48.2%

Draw

10.7%

Hull City

41.1%

Head to Head

Jan 6, 2024 3pm

Third Round

1-1

Jacob (87')
Tufan (90+1')

Jutkiewicz (18')
Jutkiewicz (39'), Sanderson (43'), Dembele (57'), Etheridge (75'), Bielik (86'), James (90+4')

Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 13

0-2

Long (55'), Bacuna (90+3')

Delap (12'), Philogene-Bidace (74')
Delap (55')

Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm

Gameweek 25

0-1

Estupinan (77')

Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm

Gameweek 15

0-2

Deeney (14' pen.), Bacuna (47')

Mar 12, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 37

0-0

Jones (46')