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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Swansea logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Swansea

Dembele (38'), James (90+5')
Sunjic (29'), Stansfield (45+2'), Hogan (56'), Buchanan (83'), James (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Darling (36'), Lowe (58')
Darling (70'), Allen (76'), Yates (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Swansea City

Birmingham felt lost with Rooney at the helm, but the appointment of Mowbray ticks all the right boxes, and he will be desperate to begin with a win on Saturday. Swansea are also hoping for a new manager bounce, but we believe that a fired-up St Andrew's crowd will witness a match to remember in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
36.06% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 26.09% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)50.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)72.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)27.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.45% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)26.06% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 36.06%
    Swansea City 37.85%
    Draw 26.08%
Birmingham CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Swansea

Birmingham City
68.8%
Draw
3.1%
Swansea City
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Swansea
1-1
Birmingham
Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swansea
3-4
Birmingham
Piroe (23', 58'), Cullen (29')
Hogan (14' pen.), Chong (55'), Jutkiewicz (90'), Trusty (90+7')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Birmingham
2-2
Swansea
Hogan (12'), Deeney (89')
Ntcham (30'), Grimes (45+2')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
2-1
Swansea
Deeney (47'), McGree (82')
Gardner (53'), McGree (90+3')
Obafemi (77')
Bennett (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland301610445261958
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough301281049391044
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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