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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
FT
(aet)
Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
38.57%26.79%34.64%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.57%
    Plymouth Argyle 34.64%
    Draw 26.79%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
53.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham
Jaidi (75')
Muamba (26'), Jerome (37'), Clemence (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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