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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
FT
(aet)
Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
38.57%26.79%34.64%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.57%
    Plymouth Argyle 34.64%
    Draw 26.79%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
53.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham
Jaidi (75')
Muamba (26'), Jerome (37'), Clemence (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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