FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Blackburn2 - 2Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City
While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
40.58% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( -0.02) | 32.47% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.51% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.39% ( 0.08) | 54.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.05% ( 0.06) | 75.95% ( -0.07) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( 0.02) | 26.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% ( 0.03) | 61.6% ( -0.04) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( 0.07) | 31.34% ( -0.07) |