MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:35:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Birmingham logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Birmingham

Zaroury (1'), Roberts (44'), Tella (90+3')
Cullen (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mejbri (35'), Chong (36'), Deeney (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Burnley
Wednesday, December 21 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 3-2 Reading
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Birmingham City

 With an unbeaten home record such as Burnley's, we expect that to be extended to 13 matches versus inconsistent opponents. However, we feel that Birmingham will rise to the occasion in front of the television cameras, emerging with a hard-earned share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBirmingham City
69.71% (0.44399999999999 0.44) 19.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 11.23% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 43.75% (-1.098 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.777 -0.78)47.56% (0.777 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.723 -0.72)69.77% (0.72199999999999 0.72)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.52% (-0.102 -0.1)12.48% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.55% (-0.214 -0.21)38.45% (0.215 0.22)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.99% (-1.196 -1.2)50.01% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.34% (-0.844 -0.84)84.66% (0.84400000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.7%
    Birmingham City 11.23%
    Draw 19.06%
BurnleyDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 13.51% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.38% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.03% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.06%
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 11.23%

How you voted: Burnley vs Birmingham

Burnley
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Birmingham City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Birmingham
1-1
Burnley
Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Birmingham
1-2
Burnley
Maghoma (55')
Toral (33')
Toral (94')
Boyd (31'), Gray (77')
Ward (37'), Boyd (71'), Marney (84')
Aug 15, 2015 12.30pm
Burnley
2-2
Birmingham
> Match Report
Mar 12, 2014 7.45pm
Birmingham
3-3
Burnley
> Match Report
Sep 17, 2013 7.45pm
Burnley
3-0
Birmingham
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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