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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Vale (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hogan (81')
Sanderson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend. Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
51.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.32% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.39%
    Birmingham City 22.28%
    Draw 26.31%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Birmingham
2-1
Blackburn
Crowley (4'), Bela (90')
Gimenez (54')
Sunjic (60')
Armstrong (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
FT
Broncos
7-31
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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