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FA Cup
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park
Lincoln City

Chippenham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Parsons (44')
Mehew (33'), Hamilton (56'), Russe (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (73'), Poole (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Chippenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Concord Rangers 3-1 Chippenham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Chippenham Town 0-3 Lincoln City

 Chippenham Town's defensive nous on their own patch must come into play if they are to do what Lincoln City did to sides above them six years ago, but we do not envisage any shocks occurring here. The Imps have fared well on the road this term, and even though a few alterations can be expected, Kennedy's side ought to seal their place in the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawLincoln City
16.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 62.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)42.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)65.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)38.82% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (-0.041 -0.04)75.55% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)13.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.32% (0.012 0.01)39.68% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 16.74%
    Lincoln City 62.56%
    Draw 20.69%
Chippenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.69%
0-2 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 7.12% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 62.56%

How you voted: Chippenham vs Lincoln

Chippenham Town
19.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lincoln City
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
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