Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 79.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Skelmersdale United had a probability of 7.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Skelmersdale United win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.