Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Margate win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Hayes & Yeading had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Margate win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hayes & Yeading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Margate would win this match.