MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:42:20| >> :600:257879:257879:
Newport County
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Rodney Parade
Manchester United logo

Newport
2 - 4
Man Utd

Morris (36'), Evans (47')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fernandes (7'), Mainoo (13'), Antony (68'), Hojlund (90+4')
Casemiro (72')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United book their spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 4-2 victory over League Two outfit Newport County.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Newport County.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup clash with Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, January 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawManchester United
27.21% (0.219 0.22) 23.08% (0.156 0.16) 49.7% (-0.381 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (-0.565 -0.57)40.56% (0.559 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)62.94% (0.575 0.58)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.137 -0.14)27.85% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.175 -0.18)63.45% (0.168 0.17)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-0.349 -0.35)16.51% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.629 -0.63)46.25% (0.621 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 27.21%
    Manchester United 49.7%
    Draw 23.08%
Newport CountyDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.76% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.7%

How you voted: Newport vs Man Utd

Newport County
20.0%
Draw
7.7%
Manchester United
72.3%
130
rhs 2.0
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