Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.