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FA Cup
Barnet
FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Newport County

Barnet
1 - 4
Newport

Pritchard (37')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Payne (6'), Bogle (13'), Collinge (25' og.), Palmer-Houlden (76')
Payne (19'), Charsley (86'), McLoughlin (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Barnet and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Newport County

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Newport
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barnet 1-2 Newport County

 The first meeting between the two sides last weekend was a tight affair, and we are expecting this match to follow suit. A case can be made for both to win it, but we just have a feeling that Newport County will be able to edge a close contest in order to advance to the third round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawNewport County
46.94% (0.0039999999999978 0) 23.21%29.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)39.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)47.28%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.3% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 46.94%
    Newport County 29.84%
    Draw 23.21%
BarnetDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 46.94%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.84%

How you voted: Barnet vs Newport

Barnet
46.7%
Draw
6.7%
Newport County
46.7%
15
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Newport
1-1
Barnet
McLoughlin (44')
Collinge (89')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Barnet
2-0
Newport
Coulthirst (10'), Santos (82')
Akpa Akpro (82')

Tozer (23'), Demetriou (43')
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Newport
1-2
Barnet
White (73')
Amond (45'), Butler (53'), O'Brien (70'), Nouble (86')
Akinde (88'), Coulthirst (90')
Santos (44')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Barnet
0-0
Newport
O'Brien (74')
Oct 25, 2016 7.45pm
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2-2
Barnet
Tozer (33'), Rigg (89' pen.)
Randall (18'), Tozer (62'), Myrie-Williams (92')
Akinde (76', 85')
N'Gala (58'), Nicholls (68'), Akinde (81')
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