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FA Cup
Newport County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Peterborough United

Newport
2 - 4
Peterborough

Glennon (5'), Whitmore (7')
Baker-Richardson (51'), Baker (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Odoh (27'), Randall (71'), Jade-Jones (89', 90+3')
(57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Newport County 1-2 Peterborough United

 Both teams have been largely inconsistent this season, but Peterborough have shown their quality in recent times and are favourites to edge this one, given how they tend to rise to the occasion in knockout competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPeterborough United
27.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 22.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 49.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)39.45% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)27.27% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)62.71% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 27.21%
    Peterborough United 49.94%
    Draw 22.85%
Newport CountyDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 5.67%
2-0 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 27.21%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.33% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.94%

How you voted: Newport vs Peterborough

Newport County
7.7%
Draw
15.4%
Peterborough United
76.9%
13
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2013 7.45pm
Area Semi-Finals
Newport
0-3
Peterborough

Sandell (79'), Willmott (82')
Ntlhe (13'), McCann (90'), Mendez-Laing (90')
Swanson (57'), Tomlin (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


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