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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Newport County

With two relatively evenly-matched sides both fighting to get back to winning ways on Saturday, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Exercise Stadium and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for what would be Newport's first league draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
42.36% (0.114 0.11) 24.7% (0.029 0.03) 32.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)44.95% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.165 -0.16)67.3% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.166 -0.17)26.27% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.225 -0.23)61.38% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 42.36%
    Newport County 32.94%
    Draw 24.7%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Harrogate
1-4
Newport
Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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