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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
2 - 1
Stevenage

O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage

 Peterborough may have been scoring for fun before being swept aside by Wigan, but Ferguson's men will be ruing the loss of their captain against one of the best defensive sides in the division. Stevenage do not score many themselves, but as was the case in midweek, Revell's side can break the deadlock and shut up shop against their injury-hit visitors to continue their playoff push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
44.75% (0.108 0.11) 25.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (-0.067 -0.07)51% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.87% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.73% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.117 -0.12)31.59% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.133 -0.13)68% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 44.75%
    Stevenage 29.48%
    Draw 25.77%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Stevenage
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
3-1
Stevenage
Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
Freeman (85')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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