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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
44.75% ( 0.11) | 25.78% ( 0) | 29.48% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.86% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% ( -0.07) | 51% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.13% ( -0.06) | 72.87% ( 0.06) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( 0.02) | 22.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( 0.03) | 56.41% ( -0.03) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( -0.12) | 31.59% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -0.13) | 68% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 38 |
2 | Wrexham | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 34 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 33 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Barnsley | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Reading | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 27 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
16 | Blackpool | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
17 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |