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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
2 - 1
Stevenage

O'Brien-Brady (6'), Poku (90+5')
Wallin (68'), Collins (78'), Dornelly (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thompson (64')
Butler (24'), Freestone (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 0-1 Stevenage

Peterborough may have been scoring for fun before being swept aside by Wigan, but Ferguson's men will be ruing the loss of their captain against one of the best defensive sides in the division. Stevenage do not score many themselves, but as was the case in midweek, Revell's side can break the deadlock and shut up shop against their injury-hit visitors to continue their playoff push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
44.75% (0.108 0.11) 25.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 29.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (-0.067 -0.07)51% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)72.87% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.73% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)56.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.117 -0.12)31.59% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.133 -0.13)68% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 44.75%
    Stevenage 29.48%
    Draw 25.77%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Stevenage
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
3-1
Stevenage
Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
Freeman (85')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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