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Chesterfield
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Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Rodney Parade
Chesterfield

Newport
0 - 3
Chesterfield


Antwi (40'), Wildig (48'), Hudlin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Markanday (1'), Grigg (84', 87')
Oldaker (3'), Araujo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield have taken four points from their last two away games, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they face a Newport side that have won four of their five home league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
26.98% (1.965 1.97) 23.67% (0.47 0.47) 49.34% (-2.434 -2.43)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.468 -0.47)43.44% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (-0.463 -0.46)65.83% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (1.272 1.27)29.51% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (1.523 1.52)65.53% (-1.522 -1.52)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-1.077 -1.08)17.72% (1.079 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-1.897 -1.9)48.39% (1.899 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 26.98%
    Chesterfield 49.34%
    Draw 23.67%
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.362 0.36)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.34%

How you voted: Newport vs Chesterfield

Newport County
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Chesterfield
23.1%
52
Head to Head
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Newport
4-1
Chesterfield
Nouble (55', 66', 68'), Amond (82')
Rigg (91')
O'Grady (37')
Reed (90')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Dec 1, 2013 1pm
Newport
3-2
Chesterfield
Crow (6'), Chapman (74' pen.), Sandell (87')
Jolley (28')
Ryan (62'), Richards (90')
Banks (68')
Cooper (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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