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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Rodney Parade
Chesterfield

Newport
0 - 3
Chesterfield


Antwi (40'), Wildig (48'), Hudlin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Markanday (1'), Grigg (84', 87')
Oldaker (3'), Araujo (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Newport County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 2-1 Chesterfield

Chesterfield have taken four points from their last two away games, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they face a Newport side that have won four of their five home league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
26.98% (1.965 1.97) 23.67% (0.47 0.47) 49.34% (-2.434 -2.43)
Both teams to score 57.99% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.56% (-0.468 -0.47)43.44% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (-0.463 -0.46)65.83% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (1.272 1.27)29.51% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (1.523 1.52)65.53% (-1.522 -1.52)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-1.077 -1.08)17.72% (1.079 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-1.897 -1.9)48.39% (1.899 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 26.98%
    Chesterfield 49.34%
    Draw 23.67%
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.362 0.36)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.187 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 26.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.406 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.51% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.407 -0.41)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 49.34%

How you voted: Newport vs Chesterfield

Newport County
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Chesterfield
23.1%
52
Head to Head
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Aug 26, 2017 3pm
Newport
4-1
Chesterfield
Nouble (55', 66', 68'), Amond (82')
Rigg (91')
O'Grady (37')
Reed (90')
Apr 5, 2014 3pm
Dec 1, 2013 1pm
Newport
3-2
Chesterfield
Crow (6'), Chapman (74' pen.), Sandell (87')
Jolley (28')
Ryan (62'), Richards (90')
Banks (68')
Cooper (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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