MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 02:20:11| >> :600:796467:796467:
Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup
Oxford United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Grimsby Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

McGuane (11'), Bodin (75')
Rodrigues (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hunt (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Grimsby Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Grimsby Town

 Oxford are overwhelming favourites to advance from Saturday's encounter, and we expect the U's to live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory over a Grimsby side that has failed to win a single away game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
54.55% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 22.57% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)45.42% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.063999999999993 0.06)33.46% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.07 0.07)70.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 54.55%
    Grimsby Town 22.57%
    Draw 22.87%
Oxford UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.55%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 22.57%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Grimsby Town

Oxford United
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Grimsby Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-3
Oxford Utd
Pearson (80')
John-Lewis (53'), Nsiala (68'), Neilson (84')
Roberts (35', 42'), Rose (51')
Nov 26, 2005 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Grimsby Town
Fitzgerald (51'), Basham (90' pen.)
Hackett (58')
Bolland (61'), Cohen (89'), Parkinson (3')
Aug 6, 2005 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Oxford Utd
Crane (62')
Newey (87')
Hargreaves (88')
Ashton (39'), Bradbury (54')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Grimsby Town
Cominelli (34')
Mackay (20'), Cominelli (63')
Harrold (46'), Parkinson (71')
Coldicott (67'), Bull (84')
Dec 17, 2004 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Oxford Utd
Cramb (18')
Mansaram (64')
Mooney (52')
Quinn (57'), Bradbury (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!