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Oxford United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Chelsea U21s

Perkins (15'), Thorniley (18'), Murphy (71', 78'), Harris (90+1')
Thorniley (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gee (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Fulham U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
62.29% (4.387 4.39) 19.82% (-1.279 -1.28) 17.89% (-3.097 -3.1)
Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.98 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.37% (1.261 1.26)36.63% (-1.25 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.22% (1.358 1.36)58.79% (-1.348 -1.35)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (1.617 1.62)11.29% (-1.606 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (3.407 3.41)35.92% (-3.395 -3.4)
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-2.346 -2.35)33.79% (2.357 2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-2.631 -2.63)70.46% (2.644 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 62.3%
    Chelsea Under-21s 17.89%
    Draw 19.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.572 0.57)
1-0 @ 8.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.441 0.44)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.793 0.79)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.463 0.46)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.626 0.63)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.294 0.29)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.352 0.35)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.58 -0.58)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.82%
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.662 -0.66)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.552 -0.55)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.469 -0.47)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.373 -0.37)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Chelsea U21s
Taylor (10')
Burstow (78'), Hall (82')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
2-1
Chelsea U21s
Agyei (17'), Osei (45+2')
Russell (53')
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
Round Four
Chelsea U21s
3-0
Oxford Utd
St Clair (10'), Redan (16'), Castillo (65')
Sammut (91')

Ricardinho (4'), Ledson (9'), Raglan (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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