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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Grimsby Town

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
45.64% (1.477 1.48) 24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 30.02% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 57.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-0.314 -0.31)44.5% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-0.304 -0.3)66.87% (0.309 0.31)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.508 0.51)19.64% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.815 0.81)51.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-1.069 -1.07)27.91% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-1.388 -1.39)63.53% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.64%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.33%
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Grimsby Town

Forest Green Rovers
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Grimsby Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Grimsby Town
1-2
Forest Green
Hanson (38')
Matete (30')
Matt (19' pen.), Adams (66')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Young (24')
Winchester (48'), Godwin-Malife (90+4')

Taylor (90+2'), Green (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-2
Forest Green
Whitehouse (19'), Driscoll-Glennon (53')
Clifton (35'), Hendrie (91')
Bailey (32'), Aitchison (50')
Kitching (44'), Winchester (55')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Mondal (75')
Winchester (31')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Forest Green
3-0
Grimsby Town
Doidge (29', 45'), Brown (50')

Ohman (49'), Rose (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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