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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Oxford United

 Cheltenham may have avoided defeat in their last three home league games, but we think that they will be edged out by an Oxford side that boasts best away record in the division after picking up 18 points from their eight away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
21.23% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 23.06% (0.0010000000000012 0) 55.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.029 -0.03)68.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)36.07% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)72.85% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Oxford United 55.7%
    Draw 23.06%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.8% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 55.7%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd

Cheltenham Town
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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