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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Oxford United

 Cheltenham may have avoided defeat in their last three home league games, but we think that they will be edged out by an Oxford side that boasts best away record in the division after picking up 18 points from their eight away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
21.23% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 23.06% (0.0010000000000012 0) 55.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.029 -0.03)68.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)36.07% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)72.85% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Oxford United 55.7%
    Draw 23.06%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.8% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 55.7%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd

Cheltenham Town
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
 Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713
> League One Full Table


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