MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:51:59| >> :600:171309:171309:
Stockport County
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Edgeley Park
Walsall

Stockport
1 - 2
Walsall

Madden (88')
Madden (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Johnson (63'), Williams (90+5' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Walsall

Both Stockport and Walsall will fancy their chances of coming out on top on Sunday and will be motivated by the prospect of facing Premier League opposition in the fourth round. The Hatters were dominant in their last meeting with the Saddlers and we expect their quality in the final third to edge them through to Monday's fourth-round draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawWalsall
56.98% (0.146 0.15) 24.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 18.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 44.77% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)55.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)76.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.048999999999992 0.05)19.46% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)51.32% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.59% (-0.15 -0.15)44.41% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (-0.122 -0.12)80.46% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 56.96%
    Walsall 18.47%
    Draw 24.55%
Stockport CountyDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 14.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 18.47%

How you voted: Stockport vs Walsall

Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
8.0%
Walsall
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Apr 3, 2010 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Walsall
Ibehre (19' pen.)
Gray (47')
Deeney (18')
Nov 14, 2009 3pm
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0
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