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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.77% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) | 11.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.01) | 47.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.01) | 69.45% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.64% ( -0) | 12.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.8% ( -0.01) | 38.2% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.24% ( 0) | 49.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.44% 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.76% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.58% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |