MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 11:10:47| >> :120:50008:50008:
Stoke logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brighton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Brighton


Laurent (21'), Baker (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferguson (30')
Undav (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton have become a very entertaining outfit under De Zerbi's stewardship, and we expect the Seagulls to have too much attacking fluency for their Championship opponents on Tuesday. Indeed, the visitors had the weekend off due to their match against Newcastle United being rescheduled, so they should be far fresher than Stoke on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
27.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 48.97% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.52% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)66.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.97%
    Draw 23.93%
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brighton

Stoke City
20.5%
Draw
9.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
69.7%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 20, 2017 8pm
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-5
Stoke
Loft (84')
Henderson (7')
Sidibe (40'), Rooney (6', 22', 63')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Brighton
Russell (68')
Russell (31'), Brammer (82'), Duberry (87')

McShane (39')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Brighton
Noel-Williams (39' pen., 44' pen.)
Clarke (52')

Nicolas (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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