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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Mitoma (87')
Veltman (9'), Dunk (69'), Caicedo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion move back up to sixth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
70.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)43.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.17% (0.01400000000001 0.01)35.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)82.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 70.15%
    Bournemouth 11.5%
    Draw 18.33%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 12.63%
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.5%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
88.4%
Draw
7.8%
Bournemouth
3.9%
129
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
Jan 5, 2019 12.30pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
1-3
Brighton
Pugh (55')
Surman (84'), Cook (90')
Knockaert (31'), Bissouma (34'), Andone (64')
Stephens (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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