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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Mitoma (87')
Veltman (9'), Dunk (69'), Caicedo (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (84')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion move back up to sixth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 1-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 70.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
70.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 11.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 46.98% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29% (0.013999999999996 0.01)43.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)11.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.17% (0.01400000000001 0.01)35.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.0040000000000013 0)82.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 70.15%
    Bournemouth 11.5%
    Draw 18.33%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 12.63%
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.61%
5-0 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.15%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 18.33%
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.5%

How you voted: Brighton vs Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion
88.4%
Draw
7.8%
Bournemouth
3.9%
129
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Brighton
0-5
Bournemouth

Andone (50'), Bissouma (78')
Knockaert (68')
Gosling (33'), Fraser (55'), Brooks (74'), Wilson (82'), Stanislas (92')
Ake (22'), Mepham (50'), Gosling (64'), Boruc (71')
Jan 5, 2019 12.30pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
1-3
Brighton
Pugh (55')
Surman (84'), Cook (90')
Knockaert (31'), Bissouma (34'), Andone (64')
Stephens (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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