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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.17% ( -1.69) | 25.8% ( 0.54) | 29.03% ( 1.15) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -1.6) | 51.33% ( 1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.85% ( -1.42) | 73.15% ( 1.42) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -1.44) | 22.67% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( -2.18) | 56.32% ( 2.18) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.91% ( 0.03) | 32.09% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.44% ( 0.03) | 68.56% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Burnley | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 22 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Watford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
11 | Bristol City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Hull City | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
24 | Portsmouth | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 8 |
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