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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Stoke logo

Swansea
1 - 3
Stoke

Whittaker (2')
Sorinola (28'), Grimes (45+2'), Cabango (46'), Manning (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Laurent (15', 20'), Baker (90+4')
Neil (29'), Gayle (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Stoke City

Given the inconsistencies of both teams, this is a difficult match to call. Nevertheless, with Stoke having lost three away games in succession, we cannot back the visitors, with Swansea potentially edging this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
45.17% (-1.686 -1.69) 25.8% (0.542 0.54) 29.03% (1.146 1.15)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-1.601 -1.6)51.33% (1.602 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (-1.415 -1.42)73.15% (1.417 1.42)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-1.437 -1.44)22.67% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.68% (-2.177 -2.18)56.32% (2.18 2.18)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.56% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 45.16%
    Stoke City 29.03%
    Draw 25.8%
Swansea CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.265 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.455 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.523 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 29.03%

How you voted: Swansea vs Stoke

Swansea City
67.0%
Draw
22.7%
Stoke City
10.2%
88
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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