FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland2 - 3Fulham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Fulham
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League
We said: Sunderland 1-2 Fulham
Having held Chelsea to a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge last time out, Fulham should book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup on Wednesday, although Sunderland are expected to push the Premier League side all the way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Fulham |
38.65% ( 2.03) | 25.43% ( 0.31) | 35.92% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
