Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.