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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Craven Cottage
Sunderland

Fulham
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cairney (61')
Wilson (45+4'), Kurzawa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (6')
Alese (43'), Batth (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Fulham and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Fulham 2-0 Sunderland

A Sunderland side with a taste for goals undoubtedly possess the tools to hurt Fulham, but the hosts are rarely overwhelmed defensively and have far fewer injury concerns to worry about here. Even if things do go pear-shaped, Silva is blessed with several high-quality options off the bench, and we can only picture the Cottagers marching onto the fifth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
FulhamDrawSunderland
41.88% (-0.358 -0.36) 24.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 33.39% (0.309 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.09% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.137 -0.14)44.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.133 -0.13)67.31% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.227 -0.23)21.5% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45% (-0.349 -0.35)54.55% (0.348 0.35)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.12 0.12)26% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.162 0.16)61.02% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 41.88%
    Sunderland 33.39%
    Draw 24.72%
FulhamDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.047 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.53% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Fulham vs Sunderland

Fulham
78.9%
Draw
7.0%
Sunderland
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-1
Sunderland
Piazon (45'), Mitrovic (76')
Bettinelli (90'), Kamara (96')
Asoro (28')
O'Shea (45'), Fletcher (61'), Steele (62'), McManaman (90')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Feb 3, 2015 7.45pm
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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