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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

Sunderland

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

 Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
46.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.01% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.081 0.08)72.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.12%
    Sunderland 27.36%
    Draw 26.52%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
53.1%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')

Saville (22')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Hutchinson (69')
Saville (80'), Morison (90')
Oviedo (29')
Steele (90')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
Sunderland
1-0
Millwall
Muscat (72' og.)

Muscat (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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