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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (59')
Cooper (32'), Bennett (37'), Saville (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cirkin (81')
Hume (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland

Millwall are still in the playoff hunt, but manager Rowett will realise his side have tended to tail off towards the end of recent campaigns, so the pressure is on the hosts to keep earning points this month. Sunderland will have an exciting look to them with youngster Gelhardt leading the line, but the Black Cats might struggle physically in attacking areas against a Lions side that impose themselves on their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
46.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 27.36% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (0.045000000000002 0.05)55.01% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)76.28% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.98% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.33% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.081 0.08)72.09% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 46.12%
    Sunderland 27.36%
    Draw 26.52%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
53.1%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
Oct 16, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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