Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.54%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.