Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newmarket Town win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Wroxham had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newmarket Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Wroxham win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newmarket Town would win this match.
