MX23RW : Monday, January 20 20:57:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Oceane
Marseille

Le Havre
1 - 2
Marseille

Bayo (90+7' pen.)
Sabbi (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aubameyang (64'), Murillo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Marseille

While the visitors have struggled in their away matches this season, we believe that the added incentive of possible qualification for European football next season will help them get over the line with a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Le HavreDrawMarseille
31.16% (-0.547 -0.55) 26.7% (0.329 0.33) 42.14% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.79% (-1.231 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (-1.483 -1.48)54.05% (1.489 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-1.257 -1.26)75.48% (1.262 1.26)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-1.134 -1.13)31.96% (1.139 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-1.316 -1.32)68.41% (1.322 1.32)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.554 -0.55)25.36% (0.558 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-0.766 -0.77)60.15% (0.772 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 31.16%
    Marseille 42.13%
    Draw 26.7%
Le HavreDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.46 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.63% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Marseille

Le Havre
27.7%
Draw
23.4%
Marseille
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
3-0
Le Havre
Sangante (18' og.), Aubameyang (21'), Sarr (84')

N'Diaye (12'), Casimir (50')
N'Diaye (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!