Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
31.16% ( -0.55) | 26.7% ( 0.33) | 42.14% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.79% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% ( -1.48) | 54.05% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -1.26) | 75.48% ( 1.26) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -1.13) | 31.96% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -1.32) | 68.41% ( 1.32) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.64% ( -0.55) | 25.36% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.85% ( -0.77) | 60.15% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |