Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2024 at 1am UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig2 - 0Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Aston Villa
Although not playing at their Red Bull Arena, RB Leipzig should feel at home as they face off against Champions League opposition on Wednesday night. A weak Villa side struggled against Columbus last time out, and we believe that Unai Emery's side will suffer their second defeat of pre-season in New Jersey. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Aston Villa |
57.58% ( -0.01) | 21.77% ( 0) | 20.64% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
