MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:25:14| >> :60:49:49:
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Du Marasquer
Aston Villa logo

Spartak Trnava
0 - 3
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bailey (38'), Rogers (53'), Archer (90')
Carlos (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Spartak Trnava and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartak Trnava 5-0 Podbrezova
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Aston Villa
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Aston Villa

Spartak Trnava are much further ahead in their preparations, and this has the potential to be a tricky match for Villa. However, we are expecting Emery's side to triumph in order to make it back-to-back successes in their opening two pre-season fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Spartak TrnavaDrawAston Villa
36.39% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 25.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 38.29% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)47.14% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.38% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)24.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-0.055 -0.05)58.6% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Trnava 36.39%
    Aston Villa 38.29%
    Draw 25.31%
Spartak TrnavaDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.29%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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