Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Unterhaching had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Unterhaching win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.
