Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 46.47% | 24.12% | 29.41% |
| Both teams to score 58.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% | 43.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% | 66.25% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% | 19.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.39% | 50.61% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.35% | 63.65% |
| Score Analysis |
USA 46.47%
Canada 29.41%
Draw 24.12%
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.47% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.41% |
How you voted: USA vs Canada
USA
73.0%Draw
18.0%Canada
9.0%100
