Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.