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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Colombia national football team

Paraguay
0 - 1
Colombia


Jose Caceres (24'), Caballero (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Borre (11' pen.)
Arias (45'), Mina (45+1'), Munoz (69'), Cordoba (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Paraguay 1-1 Colombia

 Colombia's unbeaten start has included three draws from five games, including in both of their away games, and it would be no shock to see another tight affair here. Paraguay battled for a 0-0 in Chile with 10 men, and are slight underdogs here despite home advantage, but they may be able to hold their visitors to a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 42.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 24.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (6.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawColombia
42.98%32.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 24.92% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 34.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.26% (-0.128 -0.13)72.73% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.07% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)88.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)34.21% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)70.9% (0.077000000000012 0.08)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (-0.129 -0.13)47.73% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (-0.096 -0.1)83.03% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 42.98%
    Colombia 24.92%
    Draw 32.08%
ParaguayDrawColombia
1-0 @ 17.51% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 42.98%
0-0 @ 16.32% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 32.08%
0-1 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 24.92%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Colombia

Paraguay
19.5%
Draw
24.4%
Colombia
56.1%
41
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Paraguay
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Borja (29'), Lucumi (42')

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