World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Ecuador0 - 0Colombia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Uruguay
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 1-1 Colombia
With an additional automatic qualifying spot on offer to South America for the 2026 World Cup, these two nations will both expect to comfortably qualify after making positive starts to the campaign. As such, neither manager or set of players would likely be too disappointed with a draw, and that is the result we are predicting between two evenly matched sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Colombia |
47.24% ( 0.88) | 30.82% ( -0.03) | 21.94% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 34.7% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.37) | 71.15% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.04% ( -0.23) | 87.96% ( 0.23) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( 0.28) | 30.93% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.78% ( 0.33) | 67.22% ( -0.33) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.23% ( -1.12) | 49.77% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.5% ( -0.8) | 84.49% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 47.23%
Colombia 21.93%
Draw 30.82%
| Ecuador | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 18.06% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 47.23% | 0-0 @ 15.39% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 30.82% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.93% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Colombia
Ecuador
50.0%Draw
25.0%Colombia
25.0%64
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 10pm
Jun 14, 2021 1am
Nov 20, 2019 1am
Mar 28, 2017 10pm
