MX23RW : Monday, December 23 16:00:12| >> :60:635:635:
Croatia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka
North Macedonia national football team

Croatia
3 - 0
N. Macedonia

Majer (10', 45'), Pasalic (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly fixture between Croatia and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 2-4 Croatia
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

North Macedonia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 1-0 N. Macedonia
Monday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

We said: Croatia 2-0 North Macedonia

 After a busy season, both squads may lack some sharpness in their first June friendly, with either manager using Monday's match to assess their options. Therefore, the hosts should pick up a positive result without reaching top gear, ahead of a tougher test against Portugal next time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.44%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawNorth Macedonia
73.6% (2.261 2.26) 17.8% (-1.198 -1.2) 8.6% (-1.064 -1.06)
Both teams to score 38.05% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.3% (1.723 1.72)49.69% (-1.725 -1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (1.525 1.53)71.71% (-1.525 -1.53)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (1.156 1.16)12% (-1.157 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.55% (2.397 2.4)37.45% (-2.397 -2.4)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.24% (-1.257 -1.26)56.76% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (-0.727 -0.73)88.91% (0.726 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 73.59%
    North Macedonia 8.6%
    Draw 17.8%
CroatiaDrawNorth Macedonia
2-0 @ 15.31% (0.29 0.29)
1-0 @ 14.44% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-0 @ 10.82% (0.67 0.67)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.15 0.15)
4-0 @ 5.74% (0.586 0.59)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.217 0.22)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.343 0.34)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% (0.147 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 73.59%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.491 -0.49)
2-2 @ 2.46% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 17.8%
0-1 @ 3.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
1-2 @ 2.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 8.6%

How you voted: Croatia vs N. Macedonia

Croatia
82.4%
Draw
12.9%
North Macedonia
4.7%
85
rhs 2.0
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