MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:03:04| >> :60:25:25:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Japan national football team

Germany
1 - 4
Japan

Sane (19')
Sule (25'), Gosens (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (11'), Ueda (22'), Asano (90'), Tanaka (90+2')
Itakura (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Japan in Wolfsburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

We said: Germany 2-1 Japan

Although Germany have endured a disappointing 12 months - winning just two of their previous eight games across all competitions - Die Mannschaft are bound to bounce back before too long. With that in mind, we expect Flick's men to return to winning ways with a narrow victory over Japan, although the Samurai Blue will likely push the hosts all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawJapan
44.05% (1.735 1.74) 25.17% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.77% (-1.657 -1.66)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.251 -0.25)47.87% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.231 -0.23)70.05% (0.226 0.23)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.705 0.7)21.73% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (1.069 1.07)54.89% (-1.073 -1.07)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-1.21 -1.21)29.09% (1.206 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.518 -1.52)65.01% (1.514 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Germany 44.05%
    Japan 30.77%
    Draw 25.17%
GermanyDrawJapan
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Germany vs Japan

Germany
68.0%
Draw
9.3%
Japan
22.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-2
Japan
Gundogan (33' pen.)
Doan (75'), Asano (83')
rhs 2.0
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