MX23RW : Saturday, March 29 21:45:09| >> :600:1080769:1080769:
Japan national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Spain national football team

Japan
2 - 1
Spain

Doan (48'), Tanaka (51')
Itakura (39'), Taniguchi (44'), Yoshida (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (11')

The Match

Match Report

Japan incredibly secure first position in Group E with a 2-1 win over Spain, who squeeze into the last-16 stage of the World Cup as runners-up.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup clash between Japan and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup Group E clash with Japan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Costa Rica
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Spain 1-1 Germany
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
JapanDrawSpain
30.83% (-0.435 -0.43) 25.34% (-0.219 -0.22) 43.83% (0.652 0.65)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (0.759 0.76)48.55% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.688 0.69)70.68% (-0.69 -0.69)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)29.4% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (0.107 0.11)65.38% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.63000000000001 0.63)22.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.944 0.94)55.49% (-0.947 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Japan 30.83%
    Spain 43.83%
    Draw 25.34%
JapanDrawSpain
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.83%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.093 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.079 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.83%

How you voted: Japan vs Spain

Japan
Draw
Spain
Japan
22.9%
Draw
12.3%
Spain
64.9%
783
rhs 2.0
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